{"id":24321,"date":"2019-10-31T09:30:33","date_gmt":"2019-10-31T13:30:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/henrypayne.com\/?p=24321"},"modified":"2019-10-31T09:30:33","modified_gmt":"2019-10-31T13:30:33","slug":"payne-uaw-gm-fight-exposes-fears-of-an-ev-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/2019\/10\/payne-uaw-gm-fight-exposes-fears-of-an-ev-future","title":{"rendered":"Payne: UAW-GM fight exposes fears of an EV future"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"speakable-p-1 p-text\">The General Motors Co. strike has united the United Auto Workers and their Democratic political allies over\u00a0demands for more pay and job security. But the walkout also has\u00a0opened a rift between the union and Democrats focused on a Green New Deal&#8217;s electric vehicle future.<\/p>\n<p class=\"speakable-p-2 p-text\">Long supporters of government mpg mandates to force a transition to EVs, the UAW has gotten cold feet as studies \u2014 including one from its\u00a0own research department \u2014\u00a0show battery-powered vehicle production takes less labor to manufacture.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">\u201cThe shift to EVs &#8230; involves a fundamental change in the key components that power the vehicle,\u201d says\u00a0a UAW research paper, \u201cTaking the High Road: Strategies for a Fair EV Future,\u201d published this spring. \u201cSuch a change will have disruptive implications for the auto industry (including) changes in where and under what condition vehicles and key components are made, employment declines in powertrain manufacturing, and the entrance of new corporate actors without a U.S. manufacturing base.\u201d<\/p>\n<div id=\"module-position-SNbPNCTKMB8\" class=\"story-asset image-asset\">\n<aside class=\"wide single-photo\"><div align=\"left\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gannett-cdn.com\/presto\/2019\/03\/21\/PDTN\/cac94a19-b47b-4a4c-a59f-f86cf7c3b6e5-tdndc5-6zxzc2k1hcz1ipnp9edt_original.jpg?width=540&amp;height=&amp;fit=bounds&amp;auto=webp\" alt=\"GM plans to announce an investment at its Orion Assembly Plant, where it builds the Chevrolet Bolt EV and Chevrolet Sonic.\" width=\"540\" data-mycapture-src=\"https:\/\/www.gannett-cdn.com\/presto\/2019\/03\/21\/PDTN\/cac94a19-b47b-4a4c-a59f-f86cf7c3b6e5-tdndc5-6zxzc2k1hcz1ipnp9edt_original.jpg\" data-mycapture-sm-src=\"https:\/\/www.gannett-cdn.com\/presto\/2019\/03\/21\/PDTN\/cac94a19-b47b-4a4c-a59f-f86cf7c3b6e5-tdndc5-6zxzc2k1hcz1ipnp9edt_original.jpg\" \/>GM plans to announce an investment at its Orion Assembly Plant, where it builds the Chevrolet Bolt EV and Chevrolet Sonic.\u00a0<span class=\"credit\">(Photo: Clarence Tabb Jr., The Detroit News)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div><\/aside>\n<div class=\"clearfix\">With only a battery and electric motor driving the wheels, EVs require fewer workers to assemble than internal combustion engines with dozens of components like transmissions, valves\u00a0and connecting rods. And EVs are expected to last longer because they have fewer moving parts to wear out.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"p-text\">Furthermore, the union worries that new players in the EV space will not be union shops like the decades-old supply chains that feed the Detroit Three automakers. EV innovator Tesla Inc., for example, makes electric motors and batteries, yet is non-union.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">\u201cThe studies have the UAW leadership nervous,\u201d says consultant and ex-GM general director for labor Art Schwartz. \u201cThey are figuring out that fewer people will be employed making EVs.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">That nervousness is recent. For the last decade, the UAW has supported the Environmental Protection Agency&#8217;s aggressive push to force battery-powered vehicles, beginning with the Obama administration\u2019s doubling of fuel economy standards in 2009.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">Recognizing that the Detroit Three were \u201con federal life support,\u201d then-EPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality chief Margot Oge recounts in her book, \u201cDriving the Future: Combating Climate Change with Cleaner, Smarter Cars,\u201d how the EPA used its \u201cpower dynamics\u201d to push for significant mileage standards under the federal government\u2019s new-found authority to regulate greenhouse gases.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">For Oge and the EPA, the standards were accelerated because the gas-powered car \u201cneeds to be largely replaced\u201d by zero-emission vehicles. Oge claimed the push toward EVs would create a job boom, estimating \u201cthat by 2020, the greenhouse-gas standards will help add 150,000 manufacturing jobs\u201d \u2014 that is, as many UAW workers as are employed by the Detroit Three today.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">The UAW consistently voiced its support. When the Obama administration controversially tried to lock in the mpg standards under a mid-term review ahead of the Trump administration\u2019s taking office, the UAW sent a letter to EPA supporting the move.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">\u201cUAW members know firsthand that &#8230;\u00a0greenhouse gas (GHG) standards have spurred investments in new products that employ tens of thousands of our members,\u201d the paper said. The UAW has also worked with billionaire Democratic candidate Tom Steyer who advocates the elimination of all fossil fuels.<\/p>\n<div id=\"module-position-SNbPNCSHcZI\" class=\"story-asset image-asset\">\n<aside class=\"wide single-photo\"><div align=\"left\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gannett-cdn.com\/presto\/2019\/09\/05\/PDTN\/fe8d4792-36e0-4734-9322-e23257a7b892-tdndc5-74xxmqm0mecs7ebzhsr_original.jpg?width=540&amp;height=&amp;fit=bounds&amp;auto=webp\" alt=\"A battery-electric Chevrolet Bolt EV makes its way down the assembly line at General Motors' Lake Orion Assembly assembly plant.\" width=\"540\" data-mycapture-src=\"https:\/\/www.gannett-cdn.com\/presto\/2019\/09\/05\/PDTN\/fe8d4792-36e0-4734-9322-e23257a7b892-tdndc5-74xxmqm0mecs7ebzhsr_original.jpg\" data-mycapture-sm-src=\"https:\/\/www.gannett-cdn.com\/presto\/2019\/09\/05\/PDTN\/fe8d4792-36e0-4734-9322-e23257a7b892-tdndc5-74xxmqm0mecs7ebzhsr_original.jpg\" \/>A battery-electric Chevrolet Bolt EV makes its way down the assembly line at General Motors&#8217; Lake Orion Assembly assembly plant.\u00a0<span class=\"credit\">(Photo: David Guralnick, The Detroit News)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div><\/aside>\n<div class=\"clearfix\">As recently as last May, then-UAW President Dennis Williams held a news conference supporting the Obama-era emissions standards: \u201cWe had an agreement during the Obama administration. All the companies agreed to it. We agreed to it. The enviros agreed to it. I don\u2019t think we should be rolling back those standards.\u201d<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"p-text\">The UAW\u2019s report sounding the EV alarm this spring, however, cited a Ford Motor Co. investor presentation predicting a \u201c30-percent reduction in labor hours per unit compared to (gas engine) production.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">UAW advocacy for drivetrain regulation has taken a turn. The just-negotiated UAW-GM proposal\u00a0pledges creation of a National Committee on Advanced Technology to address coming change and devotes a section to assuring its members it will fight any job cutbacks related to a new generation of transportation:<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">\u201cYour bargaining committee raised many concerns regarding the company\u2019s plans to increase its electric and autonomous vehicle lineup. They outlined how advanced manufacturing had already impacted the membership. As a result, the union won a commitment from the company to not only reaffirm that the introduction of new technology will not move work out of the bargaining unit, but also ensure UAW members will be able to retain the higher-skilled work associated with new technology.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">Schwartz, the former GM labor director,\u00a0says the union\u2019s about face on government-mandated EVs is likely due to the organization\u2019s reactive nature: \u201cThey probably looked at it from an environmental, not a labor perspective. They wanted to be a progressive organization that looks out for the environment.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">As the UAW puts the brakes on electrics, however, its Democratic allies are shifting into high gear. The Green New Deal would eliminate the internal combustion engine, with Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders \u2014 who joined the picket line at GM&#8217;s Detroit-Hamtramck Assembly in September \u2014\u00a0vowing a national trade-in program for EVs as well as a mandate for electric buses.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">Front-runner Joe Biden told a CNN climate change townhall that EVs are \u201cgoing to create so many new jobs for us. We have to &#8230;\u00a0take combustion engine vehicles off the road as rapidly as we can.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">The UAW and the candidates agree that a comprehensive, government-led industrial policy is needed to manage the government\u2019s forcing of electrics\u00a0\u2014 including job training, protectionist trade policy, consumer incentives, and infrastructure investment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">For automakers, the train \u2014\u00a0or\u00a0EV \u2014\u00a0has already left the station. Ford is investing $11 billion to make 40 EVs next decade, while Volkswagen AG says it will phase out gas-powered cars by 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p-text\">An industry insider familiar with the situation says that regulation alone is behind the industry&#8217;s move to electrification. Without consumer demand, the UAW is nervous an electric future is more tenuous than the gas-powered present.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The General Motors Co. strike has united the United Auto Workers and their Democratic political allies over\u00a0demands for more pay and job security. But the walkout also has\u00a0opened a rift between the union and Democrats focused on a Green New Deal&#8217;s electric vehicle future. Long supporters of government mpg mandates to force a transition to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24321"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24321"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24321\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24321"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24321"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24321"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}