{"id":10992,"date":"2012-08-15T18:17:49","date_gmt":"2012-08-15T22:17:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/henrypayne.com\/?p=10992"},"modified":"2012-08-22T18:19:07","modified_gmt":"2012-08-22T22:19:07","slug":"payne-michigan-stumbles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/payne-michigan-stumbles","title":{"rendered":"Payne: Michigan stumbles"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Michigan is going backwards. And that&#8217;s a problem for President Obama. . . and Governor Snyder.<\/p>\n<p>Michigan&#8217;s unemployment rate jumped to 9 percent in July &#8211; nearly a half point higher than June&#8217;s 8.6 percent rate &#8211; and continuing a sudden reversal in the state&#8217;s recovery. It was the third straight month the jobless rate has risen.<\/p>\n<p>The news comes despite the continued rebound of the Detroit automotive industry &#8211; belying President Obama&#8217;s claim that an auto bailout rescued the U.S. economy and focusing attention on Obama&#8217;s larger, anti-business regulatory, spending, and tax priorities that are choking national job growth.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I am skeptical about the claim that because the auto industry was saved, that saved Michigan,&#8221; says James Hohman, chief economist for The Mackinac Center, a Michigan think tank. Hohman notes that Michigan&#8217;s unemployment rate is still lower than last July&#8217;s 10.6 percent rate, but Michigan&#8217;s stalled recovery mirrors the national economic slowdown in the second quarter.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There is no decoupling Michigan&#8217;s economy from the nation,&#8221; says Hohman.<\/p>\n<p>Granted, Michigan is not the obvious target of Obama&#8217;s War on Coal, for example, that is literally\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.humanevents.com\/2012\/08\/01\/obama-regulations-kill-ohio-coal-mine-hundreds-of-jobs-wiped-out\/\">throwing people out of work<\/a>\u00a0in energy states like Ohio and West Virginia. But Michigan businesses are suffering from the same federal policies that are strangling all commerce: The cost of federal regulation, the uncertainty of Obamacare costs to new hires, increased health costs driven by Obamacare, and the looming tax cliff on January where &#8211; if re-elected- Obama threatens to increase the costs of capital (capital gains and dividend tax rates) by a staggering 50 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Business skittishness at the prospect of second term may explain what Hohman calls &#8220;a strange, midyear slowdown&#8221; in a national recovery that is already the worst since WW2.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Job creation has slowed down but job destruction has not,&#8221; adds Hohman of the business cycle. The rise in unemployed workers comes almost entirely from lost jobs &#8211; not workers leaving the labor force &#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.detroitnews.com\/article\/20120815\/BIZ\/208150443#ixzz23fYBvnSM\">reports the state Department of Technology, Management &amp; Budget<\/a>. In Detroit &#8211; a city whose residents voted overwhelmingly for Obama &#8211; the situation is much worse, with official unemployment at 19 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Michigan&#8217;s plight is significant given Obama&#8217;s focus on its core industry as a cornerstone of his national economic policy. A key swing state, Michigan&#8217;s swoon imperils Obama&#8217;s re-election chances &#8211; but the unemployment number is hardly good news for Michigan&#8217;s pro-business governor either.<\/p>\n<p>While Snyder&#8217;s first term has seen welcome stability in the state&#8217;s fiscal situation after the chaotic years of Jennifer Granholm, 9 percent unemployment also raises questions about whether he has done enough to spur growth. Yes, he has simplified the tax code and regulations, but he neglected a chance to cut individual rates (paid by many small businesses) below that if his predecessor, he has ignored he right-to-work labor movement, and he has embraced Obama&#8217;s health care exchanges for the state.<\/p>\n<p>With two years still left in his term, Snyder lacks an aggressive growth plan other than hoping that Mitt Romney gets elected. But given the evidence that Michigan&#8217;s star is tied to the nation&#8217;s, that is the hope for the other 49 states as well.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Michigan is going backwards. And that&#8217;s a problem for President Obama. . . and Governor Snyder. Michigan&#8217;s unemployment rate jumped to 9 percent in July &#8211; nearly a half point higher than June&#8217;s 8.6 percent rate &#8211; and continuing a sudden reversal in the state&#8217;s recovery. It was the third straight month the jobless rate [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,87],"tags":[63],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10992"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10992"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10992\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10999,"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10992\/revisions\/10999"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10992"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10992"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/henrypayne.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10992"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}