| Anything
but Diesel; The government anathematizes the most efficient
engines around.
November 12, 2001
BY HENRY PAYNE AND DIANE KATZ
Copyright 2001 The Weekly Standard
IT'S CUTE, IT'S HIGH-TECH, it seats four, it gets a world-best
77 miles to the gallon -- and Americans can't have it.
The Volkswagen Lupo 3L TDI is already saving fuel on European
roads, but it won't qualify for any of the $ 4 billion in
subsidies for "alternative-fuel vehicles" in the
Bush administration's new energy plan. Why not? Because federal
regulators and the environmental lobby frown on its technology
-- diesel power. This is unfortunate, because the availability
of diesel cars -- which have captured 32 percent of Europe's
new car market -- could give efficiency-conscious American
consumers a real choice. According to Energy secretary Spencer
Abraham, auto mileage of 60 miles per gallon is possible in
the United States -- but only through massive government investment
in experimental technologies like battery-powered electrics,
fuel cells, and electric-gasoline hybrid engines.
But several diesel passenger models easily attain 60 mpg or
better, surpassing gas/electric hybrids like the Honda Insight
and Toyota Pius -- at lower cost, and with negligible emissions
of "greenhouse" gases. Moreover, gas stations for
diesel cars are already in place -- unlike the infrastructure
needed for electric or hydrogen-powered fuel cells. So why
is the Bush administration intent on squandering taxpayer
dollars to reinvent the wheel?
One reason is the difference in political agendas between
American environmentalists and regulators and their European
peers. European greens have embraced diesel as the most practical
solution to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions. American greens,
on the other hand, refuse to accept the trade-off of fewer
green-house-gas emissions for marginally higher levels of
emissions such as smog-forming nitrogen oxides (Nox) and soot
particles. The higher heat of diesel combustion yields more
Nox and soot than does a conventional engine.
"We discourage diesels because they may get you a quick
and dirty fix, but you'll be sacrificing our lungs,"
says Ann Mesnikoff, the Sierra Club's Washington representative
for global warming.
But the extent of the health risk is highly uncertain. The
data the Environmental Protection Agency marshals to justify
its diesel crack-down are hopelessly dated -- reaching back
50 years in some cases, when diesels spewed black clouds of
exhaust like chugging locomotives. Today's models emit 63
percent less Nox and 83 percent less soot than their predecessors.
No matter. The EPA has crafted strict new emissions requirements
to take effect in 2004. Automakers admit they're puzzled about
how to comply. These higher standards would be much easier
to meet if the sulfur content of diesel fuel were reduced,
as it is in Europe. But the EPA's new fuel-sulfur limits are
not mandated to take effect until 2006 -- well after the deadline
for automakers to comply with the more stringent emissions
requirements. Consequently, engineers will be forced to redesign
diesel technology twice.
Perhaps signaling a legal challenge, General Motors has requested
that the EPA revise its deadlines to allow diesels to take
hold here. Analysts estimate that if these regulatory barriers
were overcome and diesel's market share grew to European levels,
American petroleum consumption would decline by some 345,000
barrels a day.
This assumes that a large number of Americans would find the
diesel option attractive in a market where gas prices are
half those in Europe. European pump prices frequently top
$ 4 a gallon, which has driven auto industry competition for
fuel-efficient models. Among the options offered, diesel is
the most reliable, affordable, and efficient by far. Six of
the eight most gas-stingy models in Germany are powered by
diesel engines.
But the European experience also shows how difficult it is
for alternative fuels to compete with the extraordinary performance
of gasoline engines. Having taxed fuel excessively, European
regulators offer huge tax incentives for customers to buy
diesels. In France, for example, where diesel's market penetration
is over 50 percent, taxes drive gasoline prices to nearly
$ 4 a gallon, while diesel -- exempt from most of the same
taxes -- can be had for "only" $ 2.80 a gallon.
In Germany, federal tax credits help ease the sticker shock
of the Lupo's sophisticated diesel technology (priced 30 percent
higher than the competition). Even so, the Lupo remains a
low-volume seller.
Still, Europe's average gas mileage on all its vehicles is
much higher than America's because European diesels are selling
in virtually every model segment, from luxurious Audi and
Peugeot turbo-charged diesels to the tiny MCC Smart. In the
United States, only Volkswagen bothers to offer a diesel-powered
passenger vehicle, even though diesel engines move 94 percent
of all American freight, 65 percent of farm machinery, and
nearly all heavy construction equipment. Gas prices here may
well remain too low to trigger demand for more passenger diesels.
We won't know for sure until we remove the regulatory hurdles
that effectively prohibit diesel availability.
But rather than eliminate these regulatory roadblocks or tackle
the thorny political issue of gas taxes, the Bush administration
has chosen to pander to the environmental lobby by subsidizing
headline-grabbing alternative fuels that are more expensive
than diesel and have even less chance of selling well. Missing
from the president's proposals is any mention of diesel. Instead,
the White House is staying mum on fuel efficiency while it
"studies" the matter and awaits next month's National
Academy of Sciences report on corporate average fuel economy
standards (CAFE). Meanwhile, congressional Democrats are threatening
to raise CAFE gas mileage standards for SUVs and other trucks
-- standards that would be much easier for car manufacturers
to meet if they could use diesel engines.
Absent government meddling, consumers practice conservation
when they have an economic incentive to do so. Unless the
Bush administration and Congress eliminate the regulatory
barriers to mass production of diesels, Americans will be
limited in their ability to exercise that choice.
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